Tony Hernandez performed almost to the number garnered by Ed Matthews in 2008, the last Presidential election year.  Betty McCollum, however, lost 6 points to Independent candidate Steve Carlson.  In other words, combined, the GOP and Independent candidates took 37-38% of the vote which is the highest against the incumbent in the last 5 election cycles.

Congressional District 4:

2012    
Tony Hernandez 109656 31.51%
Betty McCollum 216680 62.27%
Steve Carlson (Ind.) 21132 6.07%
Write-In 512 0.15%

2010    
Teresa Collett 80141 34.63%
Betty McCollum 136746 59.09%
Steve Carlson (Ind.) 14207 6.14%
Write-In 332 0.14%

2008    
Ed Matthews 98936 31.31%
Betty McCollum 216267 68.44%
Write-In 815 0.26%

2006    
Obi Sium 74797 30.23%
Betty McCollum 172096 69.54%
Write-In 573 0.23%

2004    
Patrice Bataglia 105467 33.24%
Betty McCollum 182387 57.48%
Peter Vento (Ind.) 29099 9.17%
Write-In 346 0.11%